We’re just days away from the start of the NFL draft, and the next week will feature mock draft projections, expert predictions, and fans clamoring to guess who their favorite teams will select. ESPN’s Draft Day Predictor tool does a great job of estimating the percent chance prospects will be available at each pick.
Here is a behind-the-scenes peek at how ESPN analytics accomplishes that:
“The underlying model is based on prospect grades from Scouts Inc., expert mock drafts, team needs, and a few other factors. The Predictor considers these factors in proportion to how accurate they have been in the past.”
From the 15th-most likely selection down to the highest percentage of chances, the numbers tell us who could be available when Baltimore is on the clock.
Makai Lemon, WR, USC
Chances taken: 16.2%
Spencer Fano, OL, Utah
Chances taken: 16.0%
Jordyn Tyson, WR, Arizona State
Chances taken: 13.8%
Monroe Freeling, OL, Georgia
Chances taken: 9%
Olaivavega Ioane, OL, Penn State
Chances taken: 8%
Jermod McCoy, CB, Tennessee
Chances taken: 7%
Kadyn Proctor, OL, Alabama
Chances taken: 6.7%
Kenyon Sadiq, TE, Oregon
Chances taken: 6.5%
Omar Cooper Jr., WR, Indiana
Chances taken: 3.8%
Akheem Mesidor, DE, Miami
Chances taken: 3%
Mansoor Delane, CB, LSU
Chances taken: 2%
Francis Mauigoa, OL, Miami
Chances taken: 1.8%
Carnell Tate, WR, Ohio State
Chances taken: 1.5%
Dillon Thieneman, DB, Oregon
Chances taken: 1.5%
This article originally appeared on Ravens Wire: Makai Lemon is most likely selection for Ravens with 14th pick
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